Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Open$111Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 72% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES72¢
NO28¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The US House of Representatives is preparing to consider a resolution to impeach Trump before tomorrow, following the killing of citizens by federal immigration officers. A resolution to impeach US President Donald Trump was submitted to the House of Representatives by a Democratic representative. A special parliamentary procedure requires the House to consider the resolution within a short timeframe. The anticipated vote on the impeachment resolution will take place before Wednesday, according to Fox News. The resolution's sponsor's accusations are based on the killing of American citizens during immigration-related operations.
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.