How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?No Handshake
ResolvedOutcome: No$126Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The Chinese president has not taken a single step towards Trump! A video captured the moment of the handshake between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump in front of the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, ahead of talks that lasted for more than two hours. It is worth noting that the Chinese president did not take a step towards Trump, and waited for him to approach, in order to shake his hand. #News #DonaldTrump #America #China
Handshake competition between Trump and Chinese President Xi
Trump tried to steal the handshake with Xi Jinping, but the Chinese leader didn't let him do it. The footage shows the American president initiating the greeting by extending his hand. However, the Chinese leader prevented him from taking the initiative. The handshake lasted about 15 seconds. [in reply to: Trump said it was a great honor to be Xi Jinping's friend. The Chinese President responded by suggesting overcoming the "Thucydides Trap." Talks between the leaders of China and the United States continue in Beijing. What else did the two sides announce? Trump: Brought the world's largest businessmen to develop trade. Called Xi Jinping a "great leader." And emphasized that he says this to everyone around him—especially those who disagree. The USA and China have a fantastic future. Xi Jinping: The relationship between China and the United States should be based on mutual benefit. Confrontation will lead to mutual damage - we need to be partners, not rivals. China and the US must overcome the “Thucydides trap”* and rebuild the paradigm of relations. *The "Thucydides Trap" is a political science concept that posits that a rising power threatens an incumbent state, making armed conflict between them almost inevitable. It is often used to describe relations between China and the United States. Video not loading? Watch in MAX.
NOFirst Squawk98%match91¢+10%
TRUMP AND XI EXPECTED TO EXTEND TRADE TRUCE AT SUMMIT – SCMP
NOFinancialJuice98%match91¢+10%
Trump and Xi expected to extend trade truce in summit - SCMP.
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
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