Which countries will Trump accuse of election interference by July 16?China

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$55KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

50 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESRussian Media93%match100¢
China gained unauthorized access to the data of 220 million voters, Donald Trump said in an address to the nation. He called it the "largest data breach" of voters in history. "The data of tens of millions of voters in 18 states was bought, stolen, or hacked by China," the US President said. According to him, this includes names, addresses, phone numbers, party affiliations, and other sensitive information needed to register to vote. "The Chinese government wanted me to lose the 2020 election because I imposed tariffs on them," Trump claimed. The American leader accused intelligence agencies of concealing the data. He demanded that the National Intelligence Agency, the Justice Department, the FBI, and the CIA investigate "how and why such important information was hidden," fire those involved in the cover-up, and initiate criminal proceedings against them if there are grounds. If the video doesn't load for you, you can watch it on Max.
YESnikkei.com91%match100¢
Trump claims voter information was leaked to China starting from the 2020 election.
YESalarabiya93%match100¢
Trump: Starting with the 2020 election cycle, China carried out what is believed to be the largest breach of election data in history, resulting in Beijing illegally obtaining 220 million records on American voters. This information includes names, addresses, phone numbers, party affiliations, and other sensitive data.
YESyna.co.kr91%match100¢
Trump: "China Widespread Interference in 2020 Election"… U.S. Media: "Rehashed Conspiracy Theories" (Roundup)
YESIranian Media93%match100¢
Trump: We have a completely dysfunctional electoral system / Hundreds of millions of American voters' information is in the hands of foreign governments Donald Trump claimed in his speech: I call on the Department of Justice, the FBI, and the CIA to immediately investigate the authorities' cover-up of foreign interference. Tonight we will release classified documents that prove the government had prior knowledge of the vulnerability of electronic voting systems and how easily they could be hacked. Intelligence assessments confirm that Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea have the ability to influence our electoral system. Biden's Justice Department intentionally slowed down the investigation into Michigan election fraud and tried to close the case. I am calling on the FBI Director to reopen a full investigation into Michigan's election fraud and bring criminal charges against those involved. A Department of Homeland Security investigation found that approximately 278,000 non-citizens were illegally registered to vote in the election. Democratic states are refusing to share their voter registration records to avoid revealing the number of foreigners registered to vote. We have a completely inefficient electoral system and no one can defend its integrity. Hundreds of millions of American voters' information is in the hands of foreign governments, and our systems are vulnerable to hacking and corruption. My administration has officially begun notifying states whose election data was compromised and hacked by China and others. We are taking immediate and swift action to ensure that our elections are never, under any circumstances, stolen or our information compromised. Resolving the election security crisis requires Congress to pass the "Protect America" Act without delay. Opposition to the Protect America Act comes only from parties that seek to rig elections due to the weakness of their candidates and policies. The proposed law would require voters to provide proof of citizenship and a photo ID before casting their ballot. We demand the abolition of postal voting and its limitation to cases of illness, disability, military service, and travel. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR [in reply to: Trump made a big accusation against China: They hacked our electoral system/ The Chinese Communist Party's policy since 2018 has been to support any party that has opposed me/ They gave American journalists huge amounts of money/ The Chinese have tried to cast illegal votes in favor of Joe Biden Donald Trump claimed in his speech: We are now the best country in the world. We have more investment in the United States now than ever before. US inflation has experienced its biggest decline in 6 years. Our financial markets are at their highest levels. No country can be great unless its elections are fair. Intelligence information related to interference in the US election has been kept secret for years, but I will declassify it. China has gained access to the private information of about 20 million Americans during the 2020 election. We seek to create a secure electoral system that makes fraud and interference virtually impossible. Tonight, I am announcing the immediate declassification and release of sensitive information that reveals shocking flaws in our election infrastructure. Available evidence proves that our electoral system has been hacked and interfered with by foreign powers at unprecedented and dangerous levels. The heads of the main intelligence agencies personally reviewed the results of the investigation and confirmed the accuracy and reliability of the published documents. Documents show that China carried out the largest election data breach and theft in history since 2020. China's theft of voter data is an unprecedented nightmare for US election security. Beijing has formed a special unit to exploit hacked American voter data and use it for subversive activities. Our documents reveal the involvement of elements from within the hidden government in intelligence organizations in colluding and covering up Chinese interference. Intelligence reports confirm that the Chinese Communist Party's policy since 2018 has been to support any party that has opposed me. China has been trying to influence the 2020 midterm elections and presidential election since mid-2018. CIA documents reveal that China is trying to exploit its relationships with major American companies to incite against me. The Chinese government sought out American journalists to write negative reports against me and supported them with huge sums of money. Information obtained by the FBI in 2020 shows that the Chinese attempted to cast illegal votes in favor of Joe Biden. An FBI official admitted to running a shadow government to prevent reports of Chinese interference from leaking to the free media. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR]
YESIranian Media93%match100¢
Trump made a big accusation against China: They hacked our electoral system/ The Chinese Communist Party's policy since 2018 has been to support any party that has opposed me/ They gave American journalists huge sums of money/ The Chinese have tried to cast illegal votes in favor of Joe Biden Donald Trump claimed in his speech: We are now the best country in the world. We are now investing more in the United States than ever before. US inflation has experienced its largest decline in the past 6 years. Our financial markets are at their highest level. No country can be great unless its elections are fair. Intelligence information related to interference in the US election has been kept secret for years, but I will declassify it. China gained access to the private information of approximately 20 million Americans during the 2020 election. We are committed to creating a secure election system that makes fraud and interference virtually impossible. Tonight, I am announcing the immediate declassification and release of sensitive information that reveals shocking flaws in our election infrastructure. The evidence proves that our election system has been hacked and interfered with by foreign powers at an unprecedented and dangerous level. The heads of the major intelligence agencies have personally reviewed the findings and have confirmed the accuracy and reliability of the documents released. Documents show that China has carried out the largest election data breach and theft in history since 2020. China’s voter data theft is an unprecedented nightmare for US election security. Beijing has formed a special unit to exploit hacked American voter data and use it for subversive activities. Our documents reveal the involvement of elements within the hidden government within intelligence agencies in colluding and covering up China’s interference. Intelligence reports confirm that the Chinese Communist Party’s policy since 2018 has been to support any party that has opposed me. China has been trying to influence the 2020 midterm elections and presidential election since mid-2018. CIA documents reveal that China is trying to use its relationships with large American companies to exploit the incitement against me. The Chinese government sought out American journalists to write negative reports against me and supported them with huge sums of money. Information obtained by the FBI in 2020 shows that the Chinese tried to cast illegal votes in favor of Joe Biden. An FBI official admitted that he ran a shadow government to prevent reports of Chinese interference from leaking to the free media. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR [in reply to: Trump: The licenses of TV networks that do not broadcast my speeches should be revoked. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR]
YESnewsdig.tbs.co.jp92%match100¢
In a televised address to the nation, President Trump claimed that China had illegally obtained voter data in past presidential elections.
YESiranintl97%match100¢
US President Donald Trump has declassified classified documents that he claims show China meddled in the 2020 US presidential election and obtained information on 220 million voter registration records. He also accused some intelligence officials of hiding information about China's activities. However, Reuters reported that these claims contradict the official US intelligence community assessment in 2021, which stated that there was no evidence of foreign interference in the technical aspects of the election or changing its results. According to Reuters, a review of the released documents also shows that many of them do not support Trump's claims and some even have conclusions that contradict his statements. China has denied the allegations, and Democrats have called Trump's statements "completely fabricated." This issue, as the midterm elections approach, has once again made election security one of the main focuses of American political competitions. Read the full text here
YEScnbc91%match100¢
Trump doubles down on 2020 election claims in national address, alleging China meddling
YESasia.nikkei.com95%match100¢
Trump accuses China of massive US election data breach
YESUkrainian Media97%match99¢+1%
Trump accused US intelligence agencies of hiding information about alleged Chinese interference in the 2020 US presidential election "Documents show that during this period, dozens of important CIA and NSA reports on China's targeted interference in the election were excluded from presidential briefings. I received these briefings almost every day," the US president said. Trump's key statements: I am announcing the immediate declassification and publication of intelligence materials that expose vulnerabilities in our election infrastructure; China obtained 220 million US voter records; Tens of millions of voter data in 18 states were bought, stolen or stolen by hackers from China; In 2018, China worked to influence the results of the midterm elections in the US, and later on the 2020 presidential election results; China tried to make it seem like your president wasn't that great, when in fact he was doing a great job; China identified American journalists who were covering the US president's activities negatively and paid them large sums of money to write even more negative articles about the president; The Chinese government wanted me to lose the 2020 election because I imposed tariffs on them; Since the 2020 election cycle, China has carried out what is believed to be the largest election data theft in history; US adversaries, including Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea, have the ability to disrupt US election infrastructure. Since the 2020 election cycle, China has carried out what is believed to be the largest election data leak in history. Read only the gist of RBC-Ukraine on Google.
YEShandelsblatt.com94%match99¢+1%
USA: Trump accuses China of election fraud in the 2020 elections and data theft
YESCNN Reporter93%match98¢+2%
Trump casts blame on China for US election data compromise
YESalmayadeennews92%match98¢+2%
US President Donald Trump: Intelligence reports confirm that the Chinese Communist Party's policy since 2018 has been to support any opposition party against me. China worked to manipulate the vote, and information revealed China's attempt to create illegal ballots in favor of Joe Biden. #AlMayadeen
YEScnn.com93%match99¢+1%
Live: Trump: "Voters' data in 18 states have been bought, stolen, or hacked by China"
YESnews.tv-asahi.co.jp95%match99¢+1%
[Breaking News] US President Trump alleges China is tampering with election data in televised address to the nation.
YESskynewsarabia96%match99¢+1%
US President Donald Trump: - I will declassify intelligence information regarding election interference after years of secrecy. - China was involved in some actions related to the 2020 election. - China was able to access the data of 20 million voters during the 2020 election. - I am asking the Director of National Intelligence and the FBI to open an investigation into China. #SocialSky
YESRussian Media - MOD92%match99¢+1%
Trump ordered the immediate declassification of intelligence revealing "shocking vulnerabilities" in the US election infrastructure. He announced this during his address to the nation. "I am announcing the immediate declassification and release of critical intelligence revealing shocking vulnerabilities in our election infrastructure," the American president said. Trump also accused China of stealing election data. According to him, we are talking about names, addresses, phone numbers, party affiliations and other information that could be used to interfere in the elections. "Beginning with the 2020 election cycle, the PRC carried out an operation that is considered the largest election data compromise in history, resulting in China illegally acquiring the information of 220 million American voters," he said. The US President also directed American intelligence agencies to investigate and bring charges against those responsible for the election compromise. "Today, I am directing the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, the Department of Justice, the FBI, and the CIA to investigate how and why this critical election information was hidden, to fire those involved in the cover-up, and, if warranted, to bring criminal charges against them," he added. Trump is confident that representatives of the "deep state" actively tried to conceal the scale of interference in the American elections.
YESforbes.com94%match99¢+1%
Trump Accuses China Of Meddling In Elections As He Rehashes Old Concerns About 2020. • Several major networks opted not to carry the speech, amid concerns he could make misleading claims about the U.S. elections system.
YESCNN Reporter93%match99¢+1%
Trump takes aim at China for what he claimed was “the largest compromise of election data in history” in the 2020 presidential election in the US:
YESiranintl95%match99¢+1%
US President Donald Trump said in a speech that declassified documents show that China has carried out what he called "the largest election data breach in history" since the 2020 US election. Trump claimed that China had illegally obtained information on 220 million American voter records.
YESIran Semi-Official Tasnim95%match99¢+1%
Trump: I will release classified documents on Chinese interference in the US election Donald Trump, the terrorist president of the United States, in a speech praising the state of the US economy, claimed that the country is now the "best country in the world" and has attracted more investment than ever before. He also claimed that the inflation rate in the US has experienced the largest decrease in the past six years and that the country's financial markets are at their highest levels in history. Trump also announced his decision to declassify intelligence documents related to allegations of foreign interference in the US election. The US president also claimed that China gained access to the personal information of about 20 million American citizens during the 2020 election and that the released documents reveal the "largest election hacking and data theft operation in history"; An operation that he said began in 2020. Trump described China's theft of American voter data as an "unprecedented nightmare" for the country's election security and claimed that Beijing had formed a special unit to exploit hacked American voter data and use it in subversive activities. @TasnimNews
YEScnn.com93%match99¢+1%
Live: Trump casts blame on China for US election data compromise
YESalmayadeennews92%match99¢+1%
US President Donald Trump: Intelligence reports confirm that the Chinese Communist Party's policy since 2018 has been to support any opposition party against me. China worked to manipulate the vote, and information revealed China's attempt to create illegal ballots in favor of Joe Biden. #AlMayadeen
YESJordanian Media92%match99¢+1%
Trump: China has been working since mid-2018 to influence the midterm elections and the 2020 presidential election. #Breaking #Trump #Here_is_the_Kingdom
YESSky News Arabia95%match99¢+1%
Trump: China and hostile countries tried to tamper with the US election system
YESNews92%match99¢+1%
*TRUMP: CHINA, OTHER COUNTRIES TRYING TO MEDDLE IN OUR ELECTIONS
YESalarabiya92%match99¢+1%
Trump: * China incited journalists to write reports against me * NSA documents regarding China's activities and election interference were hidden * We will investigate how official information about China's election interference was concealed
YEStheguardian.com92%match99¢+1%
Live: Trump claims US intelligence agents 'worked to actively suppress and downplay information about the extent of China’s sinister election meddling'
YESAl Araby92%match99¢+1%
Trump: China has been working since 2018 to influence the 2020 election.
YESAl Arabiya97%match99¢+1%
Trump accuses China of interfering in the US elections
YESchosun.com92%match99¢+1%
[Breaking] Trump: “China Interfered in 2020 U.S. Election”... File on 220 Million Voters Obtained
YESAl Jazeera92%match99¢+1%
Trump: China has been working since mid-2018 to influence the midterm elections and the 2020 presidential election.
YESalarabiya95%match99¢+1%
Trump: * The US election system is at risk of major foreign interference * We will declassify documents showing Chinese interference in the 2020 presidential election * Deep state officials tried to downplay Chinese interference in the election * China tried to undermine confidence in the US president
YESRussian Media93%match99¢+1%
Donald Trump announced the declassification of intelligence that he said reveals "shocking vulnerabilities" in the American electoral system. During his address to the nation, the US president also accused China of allegedly carrying out the largest compromise of American voter data in history. According to Trump, Chinese entities allegedly gained unauthorized access to the personal data of approximately 220 million American voters in 2020. More IZ RU news in MAX
YESKan92%match99¢+1%
Trump: China has been interfering in US elections since 2020 to prevent me from winning @nathanguttman
YESAsharq92%match99¢+1%
Trump: China is involved in some actions related to the 2020 election
YESJordanian Media93%match99¢+1%
AFP: Trump accuses China of the biggest breach of US election data in 2020 #Breaking #Trump #China #Here_Kingdom
YESNews93%match99¢+1%
Trump accused China of allegedly gaining access to tens of millions of voter data in 18 US states.
YESiranintlbrk92%match99¢+1%
Trump: Declassified documents show that China has carried out what is considered the largest intrusion into election data in history over the course of several years, beginning with the 2020 US election, and as a result has illegally obtained information on 220 million American voter records.
YESSky News Arabia92%match100¢
Trump: China tried to influence public opinion in order for me to lose the election.
YESNews93%match100¢
Trump Accuses China of Allegedly Largest Electoral Data Compromise in History Since 2020
YESSky News Arabia92%match98¢+2%
Trump: China tried to reduce the number of voters who voted for me in the 2020 election.
YESaljazeera.com94%match98¢+2%
Live: Trump claims China gained access to US voters’ data
YESAl Hadath94%match97¢+3%
Trump accuses China of "the biggest election data breach in history"
YESSky News Arabia93%match96¢+4%
Trump: China is involved in some actions related to the 2020 election.
YESafp.com95%match96¢+4%
ALERT: Trump accuses China of 'largest compromise' of 2020 US election data
YESdbws.io94%match96¢+4%
Trump alleges China committed 2020 election fraud
YESfaststocknewss93%match96¢+4%
WHITE HOUSE SAYS IT WILL RELEASE INTEL SHOWING CHINA ACQUIRED 220M VOTER FILES • • The White House said it will release classified US assessments it says prove ballot-counting systems are vulnerable to compromise by China and Russia, per Reuters. It said China carried out what it believes is the largest compromise of election data in history, starting during the 2020 cycle, acquiring 220 million US voter files, and that intelligence shows China assigned a data exploitation unit to the effort. • • A 2021 US intelligence community assessment found no indication that any foreign actor altered voter registration, ballot casting, tabulation, or results in the 2020 election. Former officials have said China's access to voter data came through online sources rather than a breach of voting systems, and that such data is not classified and is already available to political campaigns.
YESthetimes.com92%match51¢+96%
Trump to accuse China of ‘meddling in US election’

Where does the news lean?

70YES0NO6neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the three elements above (e.g., "China stole the election," "Russia rigged the vote in Pennsylvania") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.

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