How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?3
Open$34Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES14¢
NO86¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Worth noting that Andy Burnham is the King’s fourth prime minister in less than four years on the throne. • • 2022 - Liz Truss • 2022-24 - Rishi Sunak • 2024-26 - Keir Starmer • 2026 - Andy Burnham • • It took Queen Elizabeth II over 11 years to see four prime ministers.
Worth noting that Andy Burnham is the King’s fourth prime minister in less than four years on the throne. • • 2022 - Liz Truss • 2022-24 - Rishi Sunak • 2024-2026 - Keir Starmer • 2026 - Andy Burnham • • It took Queen Elizabeth II over 11 years to see four prime ministers.
Worth noting that Andy Burnham is the King’s fourth prime minister in less than four years on the throne. • • 2022 - Liz Truss • 2022-24 - Rishi Sunak • 2024-2026 - Keir Starmer • 2026 - Liz Truss • • It took Queen Elizabeth II over 11 years to see four prime ministers.
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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