Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?2
ResolvedOutcome: No$34Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
North Korea has test-fired ballistic missiles for the second time in six days. South Korea and Japan have condemned the move, with Seoul calling for an immediate halt to the launches, which violate UN Security Council resolutions. The launch comes days before joint South Korean-US military exercises. At the same time, 40 countries have called for advance notification of some ballistic missile launches and space launchers.
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.