Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?
ResolvedOutcome: No$55Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
U.S. Senate opens first stage of crypto Clarity Act voting to give bill a chance next month
Senate Delays Voting Of Key Crypto Bill As Uncertainty Continues To Mount. • The U.S. Senate has delayed a vote on the CLARITY Act until September, complicating efforts to pass landmark cryptocurrency market structure legislation before the end of the year.
US Senate Pushes CLARITY Act Vote To September
No Vote on the CLARITY Act as Bill is Pushed to September. • Hope springs eternal. Yesterday, Senate leadership decided they did not have sufficient support to hold a floor vote on the CLARITY Act, key crypto market infrastructure legislation that aims to protect consumers while enabling digital asset innovation. The Crypto Council for Innovation (CCI) expressed their... Read More
UPDATE: The CLARITY Act will not get a Senate vote before August recess, with Senate Majority Leader Thune confirming a September vote, calling it "queued up first thing when we come back."
Senate Majority Leader John Thune confirmed to The Block late Thursday that a procedural vote on the Clarity Act has been pushed to September. • • The Senate begins its month-long August recess Friday and returns in mid-September for a short legislative window before attention shifts to the November elections. • • Read more here w/@timmyhmshen •
Senate delays Clarity Act vote until after August recess, Thune confirms
US Senate pushes CLARITY Act vote to September: Report
NEWS: The Senate has decided to punt a vote on the Clarity Act until September, per Politico.
NEWS: The Senate has decided to punt a vote on the Clarity Act until September, per Politico.
US Senate will vote on CLARITY crypto bill 'without any question' this week: Tim Scott
UPDATE: The CLARITY Act's window is narrowing with two days left before the Senate recess, no cloture motion filed yet and ethics language still unresolved. • • Senate Majority Leader Thune must act tonight to keep a floor vote possible this week.
No procedural vote has been set yet this week on the Clarity Act, and lawmakers are racing to resolve outstanding issues within the next few days that could determine the bill's fate in the Senate. • • A Senate Democratic staffer told me that things are at a "standstill." • • Broadly, the staffer said, Democrats are looking at three key issues: ethics, illicit finance, and Senate Agriculture committee text. • • "It definitely does not die in August," the staffer added. "I think if we can get it right, it can definitely pass in September, like no doubt." • • More deets here:
'At a standstill:' Senate races to salvage Clarity Act before August recess as ethics fight, law enforcement concerns loom
9) The question of getting a time agreement on the Clarity Act is different, because Senate progressives are more staunchly opposed to it. Any senator can object to a time agreement. • • BUT: that won't be enough to prevent a vote before August. It just delays it, and recess
I'm gonna try to make sense of what is happening with the Senate and Clarity Act as of this PM. The bill is *not dead yet* and a vote before recess remains possible. • • 1) Thune hasn't filed cloture. Without that, no vote. The Senate is supposed to leave tomorrow, Aug 7. But...
NEW: Sen. Cynthia Lummis says she expects the Senate to vote on the CLARITY Act before lawmakers leave for August recess.
I believe we will get a vote on the Clarity Act before August recess and get people on the record after 11 months of negotiating with Democrats and adding 300+ pages to the bill at their request. • • It's just time to get people on the record.
Procedural matters related to the ongoing CR would explain why Leader Thune didn’t file cloture on the motion to proceed to the Clarity Act this evening, though not having the votes and major issues still being debated likely also factored in. • • Once the procedural matters on the CR are resolved, it leaves room for Thune to file cloture as soon as tomorrow (increasingly the expectation), which would put a potential Clarity Act vote on the schedule 30 hours after he files. • • Again, how this all shakes out is anyone’s guess given the bill’s outstanding issues, which include the lack of a bipartisan ethics agreement (still silence from the White House) and disagreements still brewing over the BRCA, but I’m hearing from a lot of folks that at this point there’s also a desire just to get members on the record, even if the bill fails.
Where does the news lean?
7YES13NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes.
The following satisfy the resolution criteria:
- A vote on final passage of the bill
- A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill
- A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill
The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria:
- Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded
- Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote
- Committee votes
- Votes on amendments to the bill
- Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote
For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act.
This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).