Will the Senate go into recess by August 8?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$1Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US Senate starts recess without permitting deal
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Senate begins a recess or adjournment of more than four calendar days by August 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For purposes of this market, the Senate will be considered to have begun a recess or adjournment when it adjourns or recesses with no legislative session or roll-call votes scheduled for the following three or more calendar days. A period during which the Senate convenes only pro forma sessions will count as a recess for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are the Congressional Record, the official Senate floor schedule (senate.gov), and the actions of the Senate as recorded therein; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.