Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?Increase
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$27Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESReuters99%match99¢+1%
RBNZ Minutes: the Committee Reached Consensus to Increase the OCR by 25 Basis Points to 2.50 Percent
YESReuters99%match100¢
RBNZ Statement: the Monetary Policy Committee Today Reached Consensus to Increase the OCR
YESReuters99%match58¢+72%
The Monetary Policy Committee Today Reached Consensus to Increase the OCR by 25 Basis Points to 2.50 Percent.
Where does the news lean?
3YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
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See all outcomes for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.