Next Google Gemini Pro Model releasedJuly 31
ResolvedOutcome: No$92Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Bloomberg reported that Alphabet's Google is several months behind schedule in launching Gemini 3.5 Pro, its most powerful AI model, because the company has taken time to improve its capabilities, particularly in programming. #Arabic_Business
GOOGLE $GOOGL MONTHS BEHIND ON GEMINI 3.5 PRO AS TECH FALLS SHORT OF GOALS • • Google is months behind schedule on Gemini 3.5 Pro, its most powerful flagship AI model, as it works to improve the model's capabilities, particularly in coding, per Bloomberg. Google updated the data used to train Gemini late last month to improve those capabilities, but the results fell short of expectations. • • The model was due in June, Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai said at Google's I/O conference in May. Bloomberg said the setback has some Google engineers, researchers and managers worried as rivals OpenAI and Anthropic release models outperforming Gemini, citing 10 current and former employees. Alphabet shares slipped nearly 3% after the report. • • A Google spokesperson said it is testing 3.5 Pro, an upgraded Flash model and others with partners, and is "shipping quickly across a wide range of models while keeping them highly cost-effective."
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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