Next Google Gemini Pro Model releasedAugust 31

OpenVol$334KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES2¢
NO98¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOchosun.com94%match22¢+345%
Google Postpones ‘Gemini Pro’ Release… Launches Only 3 Lightweight AI Models
NObiz.chosun.com94%match22¢+345%
Google Postpones ‘Gemini Pro’ Release… Launches Only 3 Lightweight AI Models
NOdecrypt.co93%match21¢+367%
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still Missing
NOyna.co.kr91%match28¢+250%
"Google Delays 'Gemini 3.5 Pro' Launch by Several Months"… Stock Price Drops 4.4%
NOalarabiya_bn93%match30¢+227%
Bloomberg reported that Alphabet's Google is several months behind schedule in launching Gemini 3.5 Pro, its most powerful AI model, because the company has taken time to improve its capabilities, particularly in programming. #Arabic_Business
NOcnbc.com92%match30¢+227%
Alphabet shares fall on report its most powerful AI model Gemini 3.5 Pro is delayed

Where does the news lean?

0YES12NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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