Bank of Canada Decision in September?25 bps decrease
ResolvedOutcome: No$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Bank of Canada says inflation risk rising, holds key interest rate at 2.25%
FULL TEXT-Bank of Canada holds key interest rate at 2.25%
Bank of Canada holds key interest rate at 2.25%
NONews92%match100¢
Bank of Canada maintains policy interest rate at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive meeting.
Bank of Canada holds key rate at 2.25% once again
BANK OF CANADA HOLDS OVERNIGHT RATE AT 2.25% • • The bank says the Middle East conflict and US tariff situations remain fluid, and that uncertainty is high, with new US tariffs and threats of further action posing risks to the sustainability of the recovery. • • Demand for labour remains subdued, with indicators pointing to continued excess supply in the economy.
*BANK OF CANADA LEAVES KEY RATE AT 2.25%; EST. 2.25%
*BOC LEAVES KEY INTEREST RATE AT 2.25%; EST. 2.25%
NONews93%match100¢
*BANK OF CANADA LEAVES KEY RATE AT 2.25%; EST. 2.25%
NOReuters94%match100¢
Bank of Canada Holds O/N Interest Rate at 2.25 PCT
NOdbnews91%match100¢
*BOC LEAVES KEY INTEREST RATE AT 2.25%; EST. 2.25%
Where does the news lean?
0YES11NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the September 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its September 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for September 2, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its September 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
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See all outcomes for Bank of Canada Decision in September? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.