2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party WinnerElection Postponed/Canceled
ResolvedOutcome: No$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
In the Philippine Bangsamoro Autonomous Region council elections, the interim prime minister's party won 31 seats and will begin coalition negotiations.
Southern Philippines: From conflict to autonomy in parliamentary elections; armed group-affiliated party becomes the largest party.
In the parliamentary elections for the Muslim Autonomous Region of Mindanao in the Philippines, the interim prime minister's party became the largest party, but failed to secure a majority, leading to coalition negotiations.
In the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region (BARMM), located in Muslim Mindanao in southern the Philippines, the people went to the polls for the first time since the region gained autonomy. According to Philippine News Agency, in this election, the regional parliament will be determined for the first time directly by the people, in accordance with the Bangsamoro Organic Law, the basic law of BARMM. The new regional parliament will also replace the Bangsamoro Transition Authority parliament, which has been serving temporarily. In the 80-seat Bangsamoro Parliament, political parties will compete for 40 seats based on proportional representation. Approximately 5.5 million people live in the Bangsamoro region, the majority of whom are Muslim and of Moro ethnic origin. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., in a statement on election day, called for the elections to be conducted with "common sense and mutual respect." found
Where does the news lean?
0YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Related markets
See all outcomes for 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.