How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?5.35%

OpenVol$2KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 50% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES50¢
NO51¢

24has of

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

Related markets

See all outcomes for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Other outcomes in this event

Trending now