Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

OpenVol$7KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 18% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES18¢
NO83¢

24has of

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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