Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Open$87Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US payment service Stripe abandons PayPal acquisition, Bloomberg reports
US payment service Stripe abandons PayPal acquisition, Bloomberg reports.
#Exclusive Sources familiar with the matter revealed that PayPal is in talks to sell the company to a consortium including Stripe and Advent International. Some sources indicated that Stripe and Advent International offered $60.50 per share to acquire PayPal in July, but PayPal considered the offer too low. The sources said that negotiations to raise the offer have continued since then.
Payment service provider: PayPal is negotiating with Stripe and Advent about an acquisition.
PayPal is negotiating a higher price for its sale to Stripe and Advent, according to the Wall Street Journal.
*STRIPE, ADVENT DEAL COULD COME TOGETHER IN COMING WEEKS: WSJ • • *PAYPAL HAD SEEN $60.50/SHARE PRICE AS INSUFFICIENT: WSJ • • *POTENTIALLY HIGHER PRICE BEING NEGOTIATED FOR PAYPAL: WSJ
Stripe, Advent in Talks to Buy PayPal -- WSJ
$PYPL | Stripe, Advent In Talks To Buy PayPal - @WSJ •
STRIPE AND ADVENT IN TALKS TO BUY PAYPAL $PYPL • • The two proposed $60.50 a share in July, a price PayPal viewed as insufficient, and the sides have since been negotiating a potentially higher number, per the WSJ. A deal could come together in the coming weeks, though there is no guarantee the parties reach an agreement. • • Stripe is privately held. PayPal has about 900M shares outstanding, putting the July offer near $54B.
Exclusive: Stripe, Advent in Talks to Buy PayPal -- WSJ
PayPal Turned Down $53 Billion. Now It Has To Beat It.. • PayPal rejected a $53 billion offer from Stripe and Advent on July 20, 2026. Its record since 2021 makes the board's faith in a standalone plan hard to defend.
Stripe Moves to Acquire PayPal: The Largest Consolidation Deal in Stablecoin History
PayPal board cool on Stripe, Advent $53b bid: sources. • PayPal shares rose 2% on Thursday to US$56.73, above the bid price and higher than the implied premium to the prior close.
EXCLUSIVE-PayPal board sees Stripe-Advent offer as inadequate, sources say
Stripe’s $53B bid for PayPal is one of the highest visibility plays in stablecoins and digital payments, with implications for the whole industry. • • In the latest from @CoinDesk, Mysten Labs Head of Stablecoins @louisabai shares how this could impact the stablecoin landscape.
Stripe's $53 billion PayPal bid is a high-stakes play to own the future of digital payments
Stripe’s PayPal Bid Puts Payments Firm in Play—Could Musk Jump In?
PayPal stock jumps as two unlikely buyers circle with billions. • PayPal shares surged after Stripe and Advent International teamed up for a rare $53 billion joint bid to take the payments giant private.
PayPal Receives $53 Billion Takeover Offer Involving Stripe
Stripe and Advent make $53B bid for PayPal
Where does the news lean?
41YES5NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 81% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.