Starmer officially leaves officeJuly 17
ResolvedOutcome: No$82Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Starmer leaves No 10 ahead of his final Prime Minister's Questions
Live: Remind me: Why is Keir Starmer stepping down as PM?
Live: Good morning. Two weeks today (unless there is some news development in the totally unexpected category) Keir Starmer will formally resign as PM, and the king w
Where does the news lean?
2YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.
Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.
Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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See all outcomes for Starmer officially leaves office — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.