Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day
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The market prices a 46% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES46¢
NO55¢
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20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" continued its reign at the top of the North American box office, adding nearly $70 million to its tally during its third weekend. This brings its worldwide total to over $2 billion since its release on July 31, making it the highest-grossing film in Sony Pictures history, according to The Hollywood Reporter. The film earned $360 million in its North American opening, surpassing the record previously held by "Avengers: Endgame" in 2019, before adjusting for inflation. Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" debuted in second place with $23.2 million, followed by "The End of Oak Street" in third with $21 million during its opening weekend.
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Spider-Man: Brand New Day earns one billion US dollars at box office in six days
spider-man just had the biggest opening weekend in movie history. he needs about 11 more of those to catch the dog
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day": How to explain the superhero's meteoric rise at the box office?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day": how to explain the superhero's meteoric rise at the box office?
'Spider-Man 4' Beats 'Avengers'... Record-Breaking US Box Office on Opening Weekend
$360 million in one weekend: "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" beats "The Avengers" and achieves the best opening weekend in North American box office history
Tom Holland and Zendaya's Billion-Dollar Box Office Weekend -- WSJ
‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day†had the biggest debut weekend of all time at the domestic box office, figures for the US and Canada show. It earned $360 million, ahead of the previous record-holder, Disney's ‘Avengers: Endgame' from 2019. •
'Spider-Man' breaks record for domestic box office debut
"Spider-Man: New Day" became one of the most successful theatrical debuts in history The film received 90% approval ratings from critics and 98% from audiences, becoming an important success for Marvel before the release of the new "Avengers." "Spider-Man: New Day" grossed $927 million at the worldwide box office, the second-best start in cinema history. During its opening weekend, the comic book film grossed $572 million outside the US, with China being its largest market at $121 million. Greg Durkin, founder and CEO of research company Enact Insight, said that the film's central themes—loneliness and isolation, as well as triumph over drama—particularly resonated with Generation Z moviegoers.
YESAPws98%match70¢-34%
LOS ANGELES (AP) — ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ scores opening weekend record with $360 million, topping ‘Avengers: Endgame’
'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' beats out 'Avengers: Endgame' for highest domestic opening ever
'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' beats out 'Avengers: Endgame' for highest domestic opening ever
Spider-Man comes $2 million shy of Avengers record for all-time first-weekend record, already close to $1 billion global box office
"Phenomenal": Spider-Man: Brand New Day achieves the second-best opening in history
"An absolutely phenomenal start": "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" achieves the second-best opening weekend in history at the global box office
'Spider-Man 4' Surpasses 900,000 Advance Tickets... Overtakes 'Hope' for Highest Pre-sales of the Year
Sony Pictures offers sneak peek of 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' at CinemaCon
YESBenzinga98%match11¢+318%
RT @Benzinga: $AMC Tops Revenue Records, Eyes Stronger 2026 Growth As 'Spider-Man' Swings In.
Where does the news lean?
60YES1NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
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