Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day
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The market prices a 54% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES54¢
NO47¢
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20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" continued its reign at the top of the North American box office, adding nearly $70 million to its tally during its third weekend. This brings its worldwide total to over $2 billion since its release on July 31, making it the highest-grossing film in Sony Pictures history, according to The Hollywood Reporter. The film earned $360 million in its North American opening, surpassing the record previously held by "Avengers: Endgame" in 2019, before adjusting for inflation. Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" debuted in second place with $23.2 million, followed by "The End of Oak Street" in third with $21 million during its opening weekend.
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spider-man just had the biggest opening weekend in movie history. he needs about 11 more of those to catch the dog
$360 million in one weekend: "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" beats "The Avengers" and achieves the best opening weekend in North American box office history
‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day†had the biggest debut weekend of all time at the domestic box office, figures for the US and Canada show. It earned $360 million, ahead of the previous record-holder, Disney's ‘Avengers: Endgame' from 2019. •
'Spider-Man' breaks record for domestic box office debut
NOAPws98%match71¢-35%
LOS ANGELES (AP) — ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ scores opening weekend record with $360 million, topping ‘Avengers: Endgame’
'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' beats out 'Avengers: Endgame' for highest domestic opening ever
'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' beats out 'Avengers: Endgame' for highest domestic opening ever
Spider-Man comes $2 million shy of Avengers record for all-time first-weekend record, already close to $1 billion global box office
"Phenomenal": Spider-Man: Brand New Day achieves the second-best opening in history
"An absolutely phenomenal start": "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" achieves the second-best opening in history at the global box office
Spider-Man has blockbuster opening.
'Spider-Man 4' Sweeps Vacationers, Surpasses 3.38 Million Korean Viewers in 5 Days... Ranks 2nd All-Time for North American Opening
Spider-Man: Brand New Day makes debut to $927m box office to land second biggest opening weekend in history
"Spider-Man" achieves the second-best opening weekend in box office history, surpassing "The Odyssey"
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day," Sony and Marvel's latest chapter in the comic book adventure starring Tom Holland as the iconic web-slinger, raked in a massive $355 million in its North American debut, industry estimates showed Sunday. • •
SPIDER MAN HAS ALREADY BROUGHT IN ALMOST $1 BILLION • • The Disney $DIS owned movie brought in $355M domestically and $572M internationally in its opening box office weekend
'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' Delivers Huge Debut as Hollywood Chases Record Year -- Barrons.com
SPIDER MAN JUST BROKE RECORDS • • Disney $DIS owned Marvel brought in a new record $168 Million in its opening day previews for Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Deadline
‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ sets domestic box office preview record with $72 million
Where does the news lean?
18YES28NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
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