Highest grossing movie in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day

OpenVol$627KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 93% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES93¢
NO8¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESlefigaro.fr95%match93¢
Spider-Man, at the top of the American box office, surpasses 2 billion in revenue
YESIranian Media97%match93¢
"Spider-Man" reaches $2 billion The film "Spider-Man: A Brand New Day," starring Tom Holland, has grossed over $2 billion worldwide after just three weeks of release, becoming the eighth film in cinema history to join the $2 billion club. isna.ir/xdWTCy @isna94
YESalarabiya_bn98%match93¢
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" continued its reign at the top of the North American box office, adding nearly $70 million to its tally during its third weekend. This brings its worldwide total to over $2 billion since its release on July 31, making it the highest-grossing film in Sony Pictures history, according to The Hollywood Reporter. The film earned $360 million in its North American opening, surpassing the record previously held by "Avengers: Endgame" in 2019, before adjusting for inflation. Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" debuted in second place with $23.2 million, followed by "The End of Oak Street" in third with $21 million during its opening weekend. #Arabic_Business
YESdbws.io96%match93¢
'Spider-Man' Races to the $2 Billion Mark, Snaring Sony's Highest-Selling Movie -- Barrons.com
YESdbws.io96%match93¢
'Spider-Man' Races to the $2 Billion Mark, Notching Sony's Highest-Selling Movie -- Barrons.com
YESRussian Media98%match93¢
The film "Spider-Man: New Day," which premiered globally on July 31, became the highest-grossing film of 2026 in its first week of release, earning over $1.1 billion. The film's worldwide box office has now exceeded $1.7 billion against a budget of $225 million, making it one of Marvel's most successful projects. "Spider-Man: New Day" has not been officially released in Russia, but some cinema chains are planning to show it in a pre-release format, paired with a short film. Due to the coincidence with the premiere of the Russian fairy tale "The Last Knight," Distributor Atmosfera Kino and the Association of Cinema Owners asked cinema chains to postpone the release of Kolobok until August 20th. Why Spider-Man became Marvel's best-selling hero, how he brought back the popularity of the comic book film genre, and how people make money from it—in this RBC article. More infographics—on our channel in "Max."
YESfortune.com94%match92¢+1%
Spider-Man’s blistering pace puts Hollywood on course for second $4 billion summer since the pandemic
YESdbws.io96%match92¢+1%
'Spider-Man' Will Boost Hollywood's Summer Box Office Sales Past $4 Billion -- Barrons.com
YESdbws.io95%match92¢+1%
'Spider-Man' Will Boost Hollywood's Summer Box Office Past $4 Billion -- Barrons.com
YEScnbc.com93%match91¢+2%
Hollywood is cranking out billion-dollar movies again. 'Spider-Man' just joined the ranks
YEScnbc93%match91¢+2%
Hollywood is cranking out billion-dollar movies again. Spider-Man just joined the ranks
YESFrench Media96%match91¢+2%
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day": How to explain the superhero's meteoric rise at the box office?
YESbfmtv.com96%match91¢+2%
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day": how to explain the superhero's meteoric rise at the box office?
YESKazinform97%match91¢+2%
"Spider-Man: New Day" became one of the most successful theatrical debuts in history The film received 90% approval ratings from critics and 98% from audiences, becoming an important success for Marvel before the release of the new "Avengers." "Spider-Man: New Day" grossed $927 million at the worldwide box office, the second-best start in cinema history. During its opening weekend, the comic book film grossed $572 million outside the US, with China being its largest market at $121 million. Greg Durkin, founder and CEO of research company Enact Insight, said that the film's central themes—loneliness and isolation, as well as triumph over drama—particularly resonated with Generation Z moviegoers.
YEScnbc98%match91¢+2%
'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' beats out 'Avengers: Endgame' for highest domestic opening ever
YEScnbc.com98%match91¢+2%
'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' beats out 'Avengers: Endgame' for highest domestic opening ever
YESchinesewsj98%match91¢+2%
Sony Pictures' "Spider-Man: New Day" is projected to gross a whopping $927 million worldwide in its opening weekend. According to the studio, this makes it the second-highest-grossing opening weekend of any film in history.
YESyna.co.kr94%match82¢+13%
'Spider-Man 4' Surpasses 900,000 Advance Tickets... Overtakes 'Hope' for Highest Pre-sales of the Year
YESBenzinga98%match37¢+151%
RT @Benzinga: $AMC Tops Revenue Records, Eyes Stronger 2026 Growth As 'Spider-Man' Swings In.
YESBenzinga99%match37¢+151%
$AMC Tops Revenue Records, Eyes Stronger 2026 Growth As 'Spider-Man' Swings In.

Where does the news lean?

37YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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