SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13July 31

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$126KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

24 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESdbws.io91%match100¢
SpaceX Launches Another Starship, and This Time the Market Is Watching -- WSJ
NOdbws.io91%match0¢
SpaceX Starship Aces Test 13. How That Will Help the Stock. -- Barrons.com
YESiranintlbrk93%match100¢
SpaceX's Starship rocket launched from Texas on Friday. It was the rocket's 13th test flight and was designed to demonstrate a range of its capabilities, including the first suborbital deployment of new Starlink satellites.
YESRussian Media93%match100¢
After a series of delays, SpaceX successfully conducted the 13th test launch of the Starship super-heavy rocket from the Starbase cosmodrome in Texas. The launch was postponed several times: the first attempt was canceled at the last minute by automation, and then the launch was postponed due to bad weather. During the mission, Starship will launch 20 Starlink V3 satellites into space for the first time. They will test solar panels, antennas, and laser communications, after which they will burn up in the atmosphere. A re-start of one Raptor engine in outer space and a controlled splashdown of the upper stage in the Indian Ocean are also planned. More news from IZ RU in MAX
YESNews95%match100¢
URGENT: SpaceX successfully conducted the 13th test launch of the Starship spacecraft - broadcast
YESdbws.io94%match100¢
SpaceX’s Starship rocket lifts off from Texas for 13th test flight
NOReuters94%match2¢-100%
SpaceX’s Starship Rocket Lifts Off From Texas in 13th Test Flight
YESfoxnews92%match94¢+6%
WATCH LIVE: SpaceX conducts thirteenth Starship test flight from Texas
YESelonmusk93%match94¢+6%
Flight 13 of Starship launch attempt in 10 minutes!
YESspacex93%match93¢+8%
On track for Starship’s 13th flight test later today – the 90-minute launch window opens at 5:45 p.m. CT. Live coverage starts ~30 minutes before launch
YESIranian Media93%match93¢+8%
Starship to launch tomorrow morning After several delays, SpaceX will now attempt to conduct the critical test of the 13th flight of the Starship rocket tomorrow morning, Iranian time. isna.ir/xdWMsz @isna94
YESspacex97%match90¢+11%
Now targeting Friday, July 24 for Starship’s thirteenth flight test, due to weather. • • A key objective for the flight test is to get clear imagery from the ground of Starship’s heatshield as it flies at a higher dynamic pressure during ascent, which won't be possible with today's weather conditions. Visibility is forecast to be ideal for a Friday attempt.
YESspacex95%match93¢+8%
Additional preflight testing on Super Heavy complete. Now starting preparations to launch Starship as soon as tomorrow, Thursday, July 23. Weather is currently a significant watch item for launch
YESyna.co.kr93%match87¢+15%
SpaceX "Starship Test Flight Postponed to 23rd"... First Launch Since Listing
YEScontent-static.cctvnews.cctv.com98%match85¢+18%
SpaceX postpones the 13th test flight of its Starship spacecraft to July 23.
YESWalter Bloomberg98%match84¢+19%
SPACEX: TARGETING TO LAUNCH STARSHIP’S 13TH FLIGHT TEST AS EARLY AS JULY 23
YESlivesquawk98%match90¢+11%
SpaceX: Targeting To Launch Starship’s 13th Flight Test As Early As July 23
YESReuters98%match88¢+14%
SpaceX: Targeting to Launch Starship’s 13th Flight Test as Early as July 23
YESspacex98%match88¢+14%
Now targeting to launch Starship’s thirteenth flight test as early as Thursday, July 23 →
YESelonmusk92%match95¢+5%
No Starship, no orbital data centers. No orbital data centers, no potential $28.5 trillion market. • • Before you watch tonight's launch, see what we think SpaceX's master plan is.
YESspacex94%match97¢+3%
On track for Starship’s 13th flight test later today – the 90-minute launch window opens at 5:45 p.m. CT. Live coverage starts ~30 minutes before launch
NOYahoo Finance Reporter97%match5¢-100%
JP Morgan on 13th Starship test flight later today: • • "There will be plenty to analyze from Flight 13, but over time, we expect both progress and setbacks as SpaceX moves toward its goal of launching Starship dozens of times next year, followed by hundreds of times in 2028, and then thousands beyond. In our initiation last week, we highlighted two categories of challenges for SpaceX to tackle on Starship: one dealing with the rocket’s technical performance and another with scaling the production system (rockets, engines, fuel, launch pads) and regulatory approvals. This flight will tell us a bit more about the former, and an ongoing focus will be the cost and time associated with refurbishing the second stage, given the stress of re-entry. As a result, we will seek information about the performance of the upper stage thermal protection system (TPS). Later this year, SpaceX expects to catch an upper stage in the Mechazilla “chopsticks” at Starbase. This would be impressive, but regarding the Starship business case, we are a bit more focused on how quickly that same second stage will refly. Reliability of the V3 Raptor engine is another focus for Flight 13 after performance shortfalls on Flight 12. For other upcoming milestones, SpaceX indicated in June that it intends to refuel a Starship in space this year."
YESyna.co.kr99%match96¢+4%
SpaceX Starship to Conduct 13th Test Flight as Early as the 16th
YESspacex99%match84¢+19%
Starship’s thirteenth flight test is preparing to launch as early as Thursday, July 16 →

Where does the news lean?

22YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

How did this market resolve?

If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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