In which month will SpaceX IPO?No IPO before 2027
ResolvedOutcome: No$40Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
SpaceX IPO Is Forcing Changes To Index And Underwriting Rules. • The rapidly approaching SpaceX IPO will be groundbreaking, forcing index providers and underwriters to adapt to a new era of mega-scale issuance.
Read @lizrhoffman on the complicated SpaceX IPO
SpaceX plans to launch its IPO roadshow the week of June 8, targeting a $1.75T valuation. Looking to raise $75B in the largest IPO in history. • • Up to 30% of shares set aside for retail investors (most IPOs: 5-10%). 1,500 retail investors invited to a major event on June 11. Prospectus expected late May. • • CFO Bret Johnsen: "Retail is going to be a critical part of this and a bigger part than any IPO in history." • • For context: SpaceX was valued at $800B in December 2025 before merging with xAI. Now targeting $1.75T.
According to sources familiar with the matter, SpaceX has secretly filed for an IPO with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This filing suggests the company may go public before July. SpaceX could become the first of three major IPOs scheduled for 2026.
Where does the news lean?
5YES4NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
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