Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?Rebeca Grynspan
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 24% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES24¢
NO76¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Costa Rican diplomat and former vice-president Rebeca Grynspan has become the frontrunner in the race for the post of UN Secretary-General, The Guardian reports. In the first secret preliminary vote of the UN Security Council, Grynspan received 10 votes in favor, 4 votes in favor, and 1 vote against. This puts her in a strong starting position. Her closest rival, former Guyana Ambassador to the UN Caroline Rodriguez-Burkett, received 9 votes in favor, 2 votes against, and 4 votes in favor. The election process is expected to conclude in October. wikipedia Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS app | Android
United Nations insider Rebeca Grynspan was leading in the first round of the process to pick the next UN chief that began Thursday, diplomatic sources told AFP. •
NEW: per diplomatic sources: Rebeca Grynspan candidate for United Nations Secretary-General from Costa Rica took the lead in the informal straw poll that took place behind closed doors by the Security Council to choose the next UN Secretary General. • She was followed by Guyana's Ambassador to the UN Carolyn Rodriguez-Birkett.
NEW: per diplomatic sources: Rebeca Grynspan candidate for United Nations Secretary-General from Costa Rica took the lead in the informal straw poll that took place behind closed doors by the Security Council to choose the next UN Secretary General. • She was followed by former Guyana's Ambassador to the UN Carolyn Rodriguez-Birkett.
YESReuters98%match33¢-27%
First Informal UN Security Council Poll Shows Rebeca Grynspan of Costa Rica as Current Frontrunner in Race to Become New UN Secretary-General - Diplomats
Where does the news lean?
7YES1NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.