South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round WinnerRalph Norman
ResolvedOutcome: No$37Kas of
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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
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30 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Mark Lynch endorses Ralph Norman as congressman heads into runoff against Darline Graham
Ralph Norman releases his first TV ad of the #SCSEN special primary runoff • • "You shouldn’t have to guess where your next senator stands," he says in the spot. "With me, you already know." • •
Live: Sen Rick Scott and Rep Nancy Mace cheer Rep Ralph Norman's advance to special primary runoff contest
Live: ‘Looks like we did it': US Rep. Ralph Norman speaks to supporter after making runoff
Live: Rep. Ralph Norman advances to South Carolina GOP Senate primary
Live: Representative Ralph Norman is giving a celebratory speech at a Rock Hill, S.C., restaurant, surrounded by about a hundred people, including family members, supporters and members of the press.
News: Sen. Darline Graham will face off against Rep. Ralph Norman in the runoff to be South Carolina’s Senate GOP nominee. • • The runoff is Aug. 25. • • As of 9pm, Graham has 32.6% and Norman has 24%. Rep. Russell Fry trails in third at 20.4%.
Live: Ralph Norman advances in South Carolina senate Republican runoff
Live updates: Rep. Ralph Norman advances with Lindsey Graham’s sister in South Carolina special primary election
Live: US Rep. Ralph Norman advances to runoff for US Senate Republican nomination in South Carolina
Live: Rep. Ralph Norman projected to win special South Carolina Senate GOP primary
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WASHINGTON (AP) — Ralph Norman advances to Republican special primary runoff election for U.S. Senate in South Carolina
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Ralph Norman advances to Republican special primary runoff election for U.S. Senate in South Carolina
JUST IN: Darline Graham advances to the GOP Senate runoff, moving one step closer to securing the Republican nomination with Trump's backing. • • The sister of the late South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, Darline leads the polls in the special Republican primary as of 8:30pm ET with 32.5% of the vote, ahead of opponents Ralph Norman at 22.8% and Russell Fry at 22.7%. • • Sen. Darline Graham will be joined by one other contender in the runoff in two weeks. • • @markpmeredith @JesseBWatters @kayleighmcenany
Live: Ralph Norman will advance to runoff in South Carolina's GOP Senate primary, CNN projects
Ralph Norman will advance to the #SCSEN special Republican primary against Darline Graham, CNN projects
JUST IN: Darline Graham advances to the GOP Senate runoff, moving one step closer to securing the Republican nomination with Trump's backing. • • The sister of the late South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, Darline leads the polls in the special Republican primary as of 8:30pm ET with 32.5% of the vote, ahead of opponents Ralph Norman at 22.8% and Russell Fry at 22.7%. • • Sen. Darline Graham will be joined by one other contender in the runoff in two weeks. • • @markpmeredith @JesseBWatters@kayleighmcenany
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U.S. Representative Ralph Norman Advances to Run-Off in Republican Nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina - ABC Projects
UPDATE: @NBCNews projects Rep. Ralph Norman will advance to the SC GOP primary for Senate. He will face off against Darline Graham on August 25th for the GOP nomination for the fall election.
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U.S. Representative Ralph Norman Advances to Run-Off in Republican Nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina - NBC News
Live: Rep. Ralph Norman advances to GOP Senate primary runoff in South Carolina, NBC News projects
#SCSEN special primary: Ralph Norman widens his lead over Russell Fry for the second runoff spot. With 66% of the vote in, Norman leads Fry 25.2% to 20.6%.
Live: Ralph Norman in stronger position to secure second spot in South Carolina Senate runoff
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U.S. Representative Ralph Norman Advances to Run-Off in Republican Nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina - Ddhq
Live: The race to advance to the Senate runoff in South Carolina along with Senator Darline Graham is neck and neck between Representatives Ralph Norman and Russell Fry. They’ve been trading the second-place spot in the results board. Norman’s strength lies n the suburbs of Charlotte, N.C., and in upstate South Carolina, which is rich in Republican voters. If enough of the vote is still outstanding there, it could be enough to push him past Fry.
Decision Desk HQ projects Ralph Norman advances in SC US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:34 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Darline Graham (R): 57,034 (32.8%) • Ralph Norman (R): 40,797 (23.5%) • Russell Fry (R): 37,308 (21.5%) • Mark Sanford (R): 25,356 (14.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 47% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Darline Graham (R): 50,361 (32.6%) • Ralph Norman (R): 36,802 (23.8%) • Russell Fry (R): 34,239 (22.1%) • Mark Sanford (R): 21,466 (13.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Greenville County released its first batch of votes, which showed Ralph Norman leading by 18 percentage points. The county has been the largest source of votes in recent Republican primaries, and is expected to be strong for Norman, who won it in his unsuccessful bid for governor in June.
Live: Two Republican congressmen are battling for a runoff spot with Senator Darline Graham in South Carolina: Representatives Russell Fry and Ralph Norman. Norman, a five-term congressman and hard-line conservative, gave up his House seat and came in third place in the primary for governor in June. The upside of that was that he was perhaps best positioned to run a statewide campaign just a few weeks later — this time for Senate — after Lindsey Graham died.
Where does the news lean?
25YES11NO20neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
How did this market resolve?
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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See all outcomes for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.