South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second PlaceRalph Norman
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$57Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
27 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Sen Rick Scott and Rep Nancy Mace cheer Rep Ralph Norman's advance to special primary runoff contest
Live: ‘Looks like we did it': US Rep. Ralph Norman speaks to supporter after making runoff
Live: Representative Ralph Norman is giving a celebratory speech at a Rock Hill, S.C., restaurant, surrounded by about a hundred people, including family members, supporters and members of the press.
BREAKING: Sen. Darline Graham and Rep. Ralph Norman advance to GOP Senate primary runoff in South Carolina • • Graham, the sister of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, will face Norman in an Aug. 25 runoff for the party’s nomination, @NBCNews projects. @jonallendc • •
New: It’ll be Darline Graham vs Ralph Norman for the SC GOP Senate seat • • Runoff is Aug 25. •
Darline Graham, Ralph Norman advance to runoff for Senate Republican nomination in South Carolina
News: Sen. Darline Graham will face off against Rep. Ralph Norman in the runoff to be South Carolina’s Senate GOP nominee. • • The runoff is Aug. 25. • • As of 9pm, Graham has 32.6% and Norman has 24%. Rep. Russell Fry trails in third at 20.4%.
Live: Ralph Norman advances in South Carolina senate Republican runoff
Live updates: Rep. Ralph Norman advances with Lindsey Graham’s sister in South Carolina special primary election
Live: US Rep. Ralph Norman advances to runoff for US Senate Republican nomination in South Carolina
AP calls South Carolina Senate GOP primary runoff for Darline Graham and Ralph Norman
Live: Rep. Ralph Norman projected to win special South Carolina Senate GOP primary
YESAPws98%match98¢+2%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Ralph Norman advances to Republican special primary runoff election for U.S. Senate in South Carolina
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Ralph Norman advances to Republican special primary runoff election for U.S. Senate in South Carolina
Live: In the contest for the second runoff spot in the South Carolina Senate race, Representative Ralph Norman’s margin over Representative Russell Fry has been growing as votes have been coming in from the state’s conservative upstate region.
Live: Ralph Norman will advance to runoff in South Carolina's GOP Senate primary, CNN projects
Ralph Norman will advance to the #SCSEN special Republican primary against Darline Graham, CNN projects
YESReuters98%match98¢+2%
U.S. Representative Ralph Norman Advances to Run-Off in Republican Nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina - ABC Projects
UPDATE: @NBCNews projects Rep. Ralph Norman will advance to the SC GOP primary for Senate. He will face off against Darline Graham on August 25th for the GOP nomination for the fall election.
Live: Rep. Ralph Norman advances to GOP Senate primary runoff in South Carolina, NBC News projects
Live: With Darline Graham’s spot in a special primary runoff secured, the question has flipped to who will join her in two weeks. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry are in a close contest for the second spot, though more outstanding votes appear to be coming from areas where Norman has more support thus far. Most of Fry’s support has come from the congressional district he represents, which has already reported a large share of its votes. Mark Sanford, the former governor of the state, is in fourth place. He has even fallen behind in Charleston County, which he used to represent in Congress.
#SCSEN special primary: Ralph Norman widens his lead over Russell Fry for the second runoff spot. With 66% of the vote in, Norman leads Fry 25.2% to 20.6%.
Live: Ralph Norman in stronger position to secure second spot in South Carolina Senate runoff
Decision Desk HQ projects Ralph Norman advances in SC US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:34 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Darline Graham (R): 57,034 (32.8%) • Ralph Norman (R): 40,797 (23.5%) • Russell Fry (R): 37,308 (21.5%) • Mark Sanford (R): 25,356 (14.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Greenville County released its first batch of votes, which showed Ralph Norman leading by 18 percentage points. The county has been the largest source of votes in recent Republican primaries, and is expected to be strong for Norman, who won it in his unsuccessful bid for governor in June.
Live: Two Republican congressmen are battling for a runoff spot with Senator Darline Graham in South Carolina: Representatives Russell Fry and Ralph Norman. Norman, a five-term congressman and hard-line conservative, gave up his House seat and came in third place in the primary for governor in June. The upside of that was that he was perhaps best positioned to run a statewide campaign just a few weeks later — this time for Senate — after Lindsey Graham died.
Where does the news lean?
24YES14NO21neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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See all outcomes for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.