Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryFlanagan 20%+
ResolvedOutcome: No$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Minnesota US Senate Democratic Primary • • Peggy Flanagan (D): 336,942 (58.6%) • Angie Craig (D): 227,166 (39.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 41% in): Minnesota US Senate Democratic Primary • • Peggy Flanagan (D): 150,168 (54.0%) • Angie Craig (D): 120,570 (43.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 37% in): Minnesota US Senate Democratic Primary • • Peggy Flanagan (D): 135,913 (54.2%) • Angie Craig (D): 108,023 (43.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 29% in): Minnesota US Senate Democratic Primary • • Peggy Flanagan (D): 102,571 (52.7%) • Angie Craig (D): 86,325 (44.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 24% in): Minnesota US Senate Democratic Primary • • Peggy Flanagan (D): 84,973 (51.8%) • Angie Craig (D): 73,990 (45.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does the news lean?
0YES12NO37neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
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See all outcomes for Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.