Next Premier of QuebecPaul St-Pierre Plamondon
Open$87Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
[UPDATE] Alberta separatists see an ally in Quebec premier-designate St-Pierre Plamondon (first reported at 2026-10-06T18:25:26.029548500Z)
PROFILE. Who is Paul Saint-Pierre Plamondon, the Premier of Quebec who "dreams of a French-speaking country"?
Quebec voters have chosen Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as their next premier. Congratulations on your victory. Joining the premiers’ table is an immense honour and responsibility, especially as we continue to confront President Trump’s attacks on Canada’s economy. • • Canadians rightly expect that premiers from coast to coast to coast stand united and work together to protect workers and their paycheques, protect businesses and protect families. Together, Quebec and Ontario can create more jobs, grow our economies and build a stronger future. • • Thank you Premier Fréchette for your many years of service to Quebec and Canada. I wish you and your family nothing but the best as you enter this next chapter.
In Canada, the "Party of Quebec", known for its separatist views, has won the election in the French-speaking province of Quebec. Now the political force will form a government, and its leader Paul Saint-Pierre Plamondon will become the next premier of the province. This was reported by Radio-Canada and Reuters.
Congratulations to Paul St-Pierre Plamondon and his entire team on their election victory tonight. • • I look forward to working with the new Quebec government to build a stronger economy, protect our workers, and make life more affordable for all Quebecers.
The victory of the Parti Quebecois, led by Paul Saint-Pierre Plamondon, ends eight years of government by the "Coalition for the Future of Quebec" and puts the issue of Quebec's future in Canada back on the agenda of provincial politics.
Congratulations to Paul St-Pierre Plamondon and his entire team on their election victory tonight. I look forward to working with the new Quebec government to build a stronger economy, protect our workers, and make life more affordable for all Quebecers.
On behalf of the Government of Canada, Prime Minister Carney congratulates Paul St-Pierre Plamondon on becoming the next Premier of Québec. He looks forward to working together to build a stronger Québec and Canada for all.
From ‘political orphan’ to probable premier, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is going 'all-in' on separatism
Where does the news lean?
10YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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