OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 2027
Open$37Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES9¢
NO91¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
OpenAI's CFO just said something IPO investors should hear. • OpenAI's CFO told employees it will list in 2027, or sooner. Here is what the growth and the $12.3 billion loss mean before an IPO.
OpenAI CFO: IPO planned for 2027, but could be brought forward if business growth accelerates.
OpenAI CFO Sarah Fryer told employees at a meeting Wednesday that the company will go public in 2027, with the possibility of an earlier IPO if its business continues to grow, according to CNBC. The company, which owns the ChatGPT app, filed a confidential IPO application in June but has not officially announced a date. #Arabic_Business
Polymarket gives OpenAI a 25% chance of a $1T+ IPO before 2027. $265K wagered. • • Spiked to ~35% recently before pulling back. [attach screenshot]
Where does the news lean?
1YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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