Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?OpenAI
Open$17Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NONews96%match97¢+1%
OPENAI CFO TELLS EMPLOYEES THAT COMPANY WILL BE PUBLIC BY 2027 'OR SOONER' - SOURCES
OpenAI's CFO reportedly told employees that the company will • • "be a public company in 2027" - CNBC
The IPO market is about to make history: • • Anthropic's pre-IPO stock, one of the most anticipated IPOs of all time, now has an implied market cap of $851 billion on Jupiter. • • In October 2025, the value of a share of Anthropic's pre-IPO stock on Jupiter was as low as ~$122. • • Just 7 months later, and these shares are up nearly +640%, to ~$900. • • These pre-IPO shares are structured instruments backed 1:1 by SPV exposure, giving investors direct price exposure to Anthropic before the IPO launches, allowing the market to dictate potential valuation. • • Between SpaceX's anticipated $1.7+ trillion IPO and both Anthropic and OpenAI targeting $1+ trillion, the IPO market is about to witness history. • • The AI Revolution is accelerating.
Mythos should be the final nail in the coffin for the AI bears & skeptics who declared Scaling Laws dead with GPT-5 (misunderstanding the fact that GTP-5 was in no way a measure of scaling laws to begin with). • • We're now witnessing the power of nextgen Blackwell chips, ~2 months earlier than I originally anticipated. • • We'll likely see the first Vera Rubin-trained models in Q426/Q127. Who knows if they'll be released in full to the public. • • Two implications now that we are beyond kink in the curve of scalable intelligence: • 1. A $1T run-rate Anthropic or OpenAI (or xAI?) by late H2 2027. • 2. Risk assets can run away from the under-allocated *very* quickly.
Where does the news lean?
3YES6NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.
A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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