Clacton by-election WinnerNigel Farage

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$2.0MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

27 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESnikkei93%match100¢
UK right-wing leader Nigel Farage returns to parliament after winning by-election, but his momentum is waning.
YESspiegel.de95%match100¢
Great Britain: Nigel Farage wins by-election in Clacton against Count Binface
YESnikkei.com92%match100¢
British right-wing leader Nigel Farage returns to parliament after winning by-election, but his momentum is waning.
YESmail.dbnews.com97%match100¢
IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Nigel Farage wins Clacton by-election
YESnews.sky.com91%match100¢
Live: Nigel Farage wins - but why did he not show to claim victory?
YESfranceinfo.fr97%match100¢
Live: #UNITED_KINGDOM It's now official: Nigel Farage, leader of the anti-immigration Reform UK party, has been re-elected MP for Clacton-on-Sea, following yesterday's by-election...
YESmanchestereveningnews.co.uk97%match100¢
Nigel Farage wins Clacton by-election but does not attend count
YESmanchestereveningnews.co.uk97%match100¢
Live: RESULT - NIGEL FARAGE WINS CLACTON BY-ELECTION
YEStelegraph.co.uk97%match100¢
Live: Nigel Farage wins Clacton by-election
YESthetimes.com95%match100¢
Live: Nigel Farage wins by-election
YESHuffPost Reporter96%match100¢
BREAKING Nigel Farage Easily Wins Clacton By-Election – But Dodges Result Declaration • •
YESdpa.com97%match100¢
Election in Clacton: Nigel Farage declares himself the winner
YESGBNews Reporter97%match100¢
NEW Nigel Farage has just told me live on @GBNEWS that he has won the Clacton by-election. • When I asked him if he will attend the declaration of the result later this morning he said: “Wait and see.” • Watch now on @GBNEWS.
YESTelegraph Reporter98%match90¢+11%
Nigel Farage has admitted that he was caught off guard by the major political parties boycotting the Clacton by-election • •
YESITV Reporter99%match93¢+8%
NEW: The Greens won’t stand in Clacton either. • • That’s a clean sweep. • • It’s essentially Nigel Farage versus Count Binface.
YESWSJ Reporter98%match95¢+5%
Breaking: Labour will not stand candidate in Clacton by-election against Nigel Farage. • A Labour Party spokesperson said: “Nigel Farage is engulfed in a sleaze scandal and he’s desperately trying to change the subject. It’s pathetic, and the Labour Party is not going to indulge it. Labour's ruling body, the National Executive Committee, has decided not to stand a candidate in this circus. Instead, Labour will remain focused on delivering for working people and holding Reform to account. Farage should let the parliamentary investigation into his finances run its course and face the consequences.”
YESThe i Paper Reporter98%match95¢+5%
Breaking: Labour will not stand candidate in Clacton by-election against Nigel Farage. • A Labour Party spokesperson said: “Nigel Farage is engulfed in a sleaze scandal and he’s desperately trying to change the subject. It’s pathetic, and the Labour Party is not going to indulge it. Labour's ruling body, the National Executive Committee, has decided not to stand a candidate in this circus. Instead, Labour will remain focused on delivering for working people and holding Reform to account. Farage should let the parliamentary investigation into his finances run its course and face the consequences.”
YESHuffPost Reporter99%match95¢+5%
BREAKING: Labour will NOT stand a candidate in the Clacton by-election either. • • Nigel Farage v Count Binface is on!
YESTimes Reporter99%match94¢+6%
BREAKING: • • Nigel Farage will stand almost uncontested in the Clacton by-election as all the main parties - barring the Greens - clear the field • • Andy Burnham says it's a 'gimmick' to distract from serious allegations about his finances. Labour says it is 'pathetic' and that the party is 'not going to indulge it • • Kemi Badenoch says Farage is 'running away from scrutiny' and 'having a hissy fit'. The Tories won't stand a candidate - they say it is a fake by-election • • Ed Davey says it is 'vanity project' and has urged all parties to stand aside • • Rupert Lowe of Restore Britain says Farage can 'play with his toys for the next six weeks' • • It means that the by-election will be a pretty surreal affair given that it is inevitable that Farage will win by a huge margin
YESThe Mirror Reporter99%match91¢+10%
NEW: Labour will NOT stand in Clacton • • A Labour spox said: “Nigel Farage is engulfed in a sleaze scandal and he’s desperately trying to change the subject. • • “It’s pathetic, and the Labour Party is not going to indulge it. Labour's ruling body, the National Executive Committee, has decided not to stand a candidate in this circus.”
YESSky Reporter98%match91¢+10%
Now Labour says they too won’t contest Clacton • • Spox: “Nigel Farage is engulfed in a sleaze scandal and he’s desperately trying to change the subject. It’s pathetic, and the Labour Party is not going to indulge it. Labour's ruling body, the National Executive Committee, has decided not to stand a candidate in this circus.”
YESGuardian Reporter99%match91¢+10%
BREAKING - Labour will not stand a candidate in Clacton by-election, NEC confirms • • Tories, Restore, Lib Dems also won’t stand against Nigel Farage. • • Has the stunt backfired?
YESThe Mirror Reporter99%match91¢+10%
BREAKING: Labour will not stand a candidate in the Clacton by-election • • A Labour Party spokesperson said: “Nigel Farage is engulfed in a sleaze scandal and he’s desperately trying to change the subject. It’s pathetic, and the Labour Party is not going to indulge it. Labour's ruling body, the National Executive Committee, has decided not to stand a candidate in this circus. Instead, Labour will remain focused on delivering for working people and holding Reform to account. Farage should let the parliamentary investigation into his finances run its course and face the consequences.”
YESlivesquawk99%match91¢+10%
As things stand, it looks like Nigel Farage v Count Binface at the Clacton by-election. More on @GBNEWS now.
YESGuardian Reporter99%match91¢+10%
The Tories aren’t going to stand a candidate in Farage’s by-election. • • Lib Dems aren’t going to stand a candidate. • • Restore UK aren’t going to stand a candidate. • • I’m told that it’s unlikely Labour will stand a candidate, just needs to be signed off by NEC today. • • So likelihood is that Nigel Farage will stand unopposed by a big party in Clacton. • • Many voters will be left wondering what on earth is the point of him forcing the vote 🏻
YESGBNews Reporter99%match91¢+10%
As things stand, it looks like Nigel Farage v Count Binface at the Clacton by-election. More on @GBNEWS now.
YESThe Sun Reporter99%match92¢+9%
Reform Party Chairman Lee Anderson tells Times Radio Nigel Farage will win more than 50 per cent of the vote in the Clacton by election • • "Nigel will win handsomely. We will go up in the polls again. He will give us another bounce and this will send shockwaves through the establishment."

Where does the news lean?

28YES5NO15neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

How did this market resolve?

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Related markets

See all outcomes for Clacton by-election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Trending now