Alaska At-Large Primary WinnersNick Begich III
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
DDHQ Race Update (est. 81% in): Alaska US House At-Large Primary • • Nick Begich (R): 53,078 (47.1%) • Bill Hill (N): 34,470 (30.6%) • Matt Schultz (D): 9,104 (8.1%) • Eric Hafner (D): 4,230 (3.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska US House At-Large Primary • • Nick Begich (R): 40,419 (47.8%) • Bill Hill (N): 24,937 (29.5%) • Matt Schultz (D): 6,805 (8.1%) • Eric Hafner (D): 3,188 (3.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
YESReuters98%match99¢+1%
Republican U.S. Rep Nick Begich III to Advance to General Election for Alaska’s Only U.S. House Seat - AP Projects
YESReuters98%match99¢+1%
Republican U.S. Rep Nick Begich III to Advance to General Election for Alaska’s Only U.S. House Seat - NBC Projects
YESReuters98%match99¢+1%
Republican U.S. Rep Nick Begich III to Advance to General Election for Alaska’s Only U.S. House Seat - Ddhq Projects
Live: Republican US Rep. Nick Begich advances from primary for Alaska’s lone US House seat
Decision Desk HQ projects Nick Begich and Bill Hill win the Alaska US House At-Large Primary • • #DecisionMade: 1:00 AM EDT
YESAPws98%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican Nick Begich advances to the general election for U.S. House in Alaska's at-large Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican Nick Begich advances to the general election for U.S. House in Alaska’s at-large Congressional District
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska US House At-Large Primary • • Nick Begich (R): 20,856 (46.0%) • Bill Hill (N): 13,915 (30.7%) • Matt Schultz (D): 3,777 (8.3%) • Eric Hafner (D): 1,822 (4.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Alaska also features competitive races for governor and its sole House seat. A host of Republicans and two prominent Democrats are vying to succeed Gov. Mike Dunleavy, a Republican who is term limited. In the House race, the matchup is likely to be set between Representative Nick Begich, a Republican, and Bill Hill, a commercial fisherman and educator running as an independent.
Congressman Nick Begich is doing an incredible job representing the Great People of Alaska, a State I love, and WON BIG THREE TIMES, in 2016, 2020, and 2024! A very successful Businessman, Nick knows the America First Policies required to Create Great Jobs, Cut Taxes, Strengthen our Economy, and Eliminate Government Waste. He will never stop fighting to Secure our Border, Stop Migrant Crime, Halt the Flow of Illegal Drugs, Strengthen our Military/Vets, Champion American Energy DOMINANCE, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment. Nick Begich has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election! Election Day is Tuesday, August 18th. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR NICK — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! Find your Voting Location here:
Where does the news lean?
12YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
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See all outcomes for Alaska At-Large Primary Winners — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.