July Inflation US - Monthly0.0%
ResolvedOutcome: No$67Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Inflation gave Americans a little relief in July, but prices are still running hot. • • Consumer prices rose just 0.1% for the month, putting inflation at 3.4% compared with a year ago, down slightly from 3.5% in June. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, came in at 2.5% annually. • • The numbers were in line with economists’ expectations and come as the Federal Reserve weighs a potential interest rate hike next month.
BREAKING: A key inflation report just released reveals prices cooled slightly during July. • • The Consumer Price Index shows inflation rose as expected both over the past month and over the past year.
BREAKING: A key inflation report just released reveals prices cooled slightly during July. • • The Consumer Price Index shows inflation rose as expected both over the past month and over the past year.
CPI COOLS — FED HOLD STILL FAVORED • • July inflation showed little cause for alarm: • • Headline CPI: +0.1% M/M | +3.4% Y/Y • Core CPI: +0.2% M/M | +2.5% Y/Y • Energy: -1.5% • • Prediction markets still favor the Fed holding rates in September at 68.2%, versus 17% for a 25bp cut and 9.6% for a hike. • • For now, hold remains the base case. •
US Unrounded CPI (M/M): 0.074% (prev -0.422%) • - Unrounded CPI (Y/Y) July: 3.365% (prev 3.531%)
US CPI (M/M) July:0.1 % (est 0.1%; prev -0.4%) • - CPI (Y/Y): 3.4% (est 3.4%; prev 3.5%) • - Core CPI (M/M): 0.2% (est 0.2%; prev 0.0%) • - Core CPI (Y/Y): 2.5% (est 2.5%; prev 2.6%)
US inflation rose 0.2% in July compared to the previous month, in line with expectations.
NONews93%match99¢+1%
*US JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.1% M/M; EST. +0.1%
*US JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.1% M/M; EST. +0.1% • *US JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 3.4% Y/Y; EST. +3.4% • • *US JULY CORE CPI RISES 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.2% • *US JULY CORE CPI RISES 2.5% Y/Y; EST. +2.5%
NONews95%match99¢+1%
US CPI rose 0.1% in July compared to the previous month (Reuters forecast a 0.1% increase).
NOdbnews93%match99¢+1%
*US JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.1% M/M; EST. +0.1%
Where does the news lean?
0YES12NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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