July Inflation US - Monthly-0.6%
ResolvedOutcome: No$12Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year in July, with inflation slowing slightly from the previous month.
NONews94%match100¢
US CPI rose 0.1% in July compared to the previous month (Reuters forecast a 0.1% increase).
Live: Did inflation pick up in July or slow down? It may depend on what period you look at. On a monthly basis, inflation almost certainly accelerated following an outright decline in consumer prices in June (driven mostly by lower energy prices). But forecasters expect inflation to cool somewhat on a 12-month basis.
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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See all outcomes for July Inflation US - Monthly — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.