July Inflation US - Monthly-0.4%
ResolvedOutcome: No$14Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
#Breaking | US inflation slows in July to 3.4 percent year-on-year, and energy prices rise 14.7 percent driven by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz (Central Bureau of Labor Statistics)
Inflation gave Americans a little relief in July, but prices are still running hot. • • Consumer prices rose just 0.1% for the month, putting inflation at 3.4% compared with a year ago, down slightly from 3.5% in June. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, came in at 2.5% annually. • • The numbers were in line with economists’ expectations and come as the Federal Reserve weighs a potential interest rate hike next month.
US CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year in July, with inflation slowing slightly from the previous month.
US Unrounded CPI (M/M): 0.074% (prev -0.422%) • - Unrounded CPI (Y/Y) July: 3.365% (prev 3.531%)
US CPI (M/M) July:0.1 % (est 0.1%; prev -0.4%) • - CPI (Y/Y): 3.4% (est 3.4%; prev 3.5%) • - Core CPI (M/M): 0.2% (est 0.2%; prev 0.0%) • - Core CPI (Y/Y): 2.5% (est 2.5%; prev 2.6%)
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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