Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?2.0-2.5%

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$5KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESafp.com97%match100¢
Mexican economy up 2.1% in second quarter of 2026
YESlefigaro.fr93%match100¢
Mexico's economy rebounded in the second quarter, with year-on-year growth of 2.1%.
YESVenezuela State-Backed TV98%match100¢
Mexico's GDP grew 2.1% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, its best performance since the end of 2023. Compared to the previous quarter, it advanced 1.5%, according to INEGI. Latin America's second-largest economy is accelerating its activity. #Mexico #Economy #GDP #teleSUR #30Jul
YESNews95%match75¢+33%
*MEXICO PRELIM 2Q GDP RISES 2.21% Y/Y; EST. +1.6%

Where does the news lean?

4YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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