When will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race?September 30?

OpenVol$6KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES5¢
NO95¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOPolitico Reporter92%match93¢+2%
NEW — Max Miller insists he can win his Ohio seat. But he warned in court that his campaign is bleeding union support and cash. • •
NOnotus.org93%match91¢+4%
Rep. Max Miller Stays in the Race. What Will Republicans Do Now?
NOnbcnews.com92%match87¢+9%
Live: Ohio Democrats react to Max Miller's decision to stay in House race
NOPolitico Reporter93%match86¢+10%
Scoop: Members of President Donald Trump’s political team asked Ohio Republicans last week not to wage a public pressure campaign against embattled GOP Rep. Max Miller, after they became increasingly convinced he wouldn’t end his reelection bid. • • “They basically told us to back off,” said one Ohio Republican involved in the conversations, “and let the voters decide.” • • At one point, Republicans in the state discussed scheduling the required meeting to replace Miller, in the hopes it would pressure him to drop out of the race. • • But Ohio Republicans scuttled that effort as White House officials warned them that Miller would not drop out and Republicans would likely have to defend the seat without a new GOP replacement contender, per 2 ppl • • w/ @meredithllee @erinpdoherty
NOPolitico Reporter92%match86¢+10%
Scoop: White House officials tamped down efforts to oust Max Miller in the final days as they became increasingly convinced he wouldn’t end his reelection bid. • • Trump officials, including inside the WH political team, made calls to Ohio Republicans last week asking them to not publicly push Miller to step down. They warned Rs would likely have to defend the seat without a new GOP replacement. • • Now, Republicans are closing ranks around a candidate accused by his former father-in-law, Ohio GOP Sen. Bernie Moreno, of being unfit to serve and needing psychological help amid serious domestic abuse allegations, which Miller denies. • • Ohio Sen. Jon Husted has also said Miller should resign and not run for reelection. Rs now worry Miller staying in risks handing the once safe red seat to Dems. • • At the very least, "it's just going to be expensive,” one national GOP operative argued. “At a time when Republicans are playing defense, you're just spreading your dollars thinner and thinner across the board.” • • more w/ @Reporter_Mia @erinpdoherty • • via @politico
NOMS NOW Reporter97%match86¢+10%
It's official. Republican Rep. Max Miller is staying in his race in Ohio's 7th — missing all deadlines by which he could drop out in the wake of severe domestic abuse allegations.
NOwashingtonpost.com94%match86¢+10%
Max Miller remains the GOP nominee in Ohio House race
NOFox Reporter94%match87¢+9%
The Hitchhiker’s Guide To How Republicans Are Stuck With GOP Ohio Rep. Max Miller After Today • • House Republicans appear stuck with embattled Rep. Max Miller (R-OH) this fall. • • Had Republicans been successful imploring Miller to step aside, Republican county chairs in his district could have tapped a replacement for the November ballot by 4 pm et today. But that deadline will likely come and go. • • That means Miller will be on the November ballot, stubbornly refusing to step aside amid allegations of physically abusing his ex-wife and daughter. His ex-wife, Emily Moreno, is the daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-OH). • • Miller represents a district which favors the GOP by five points. He won his district with 51 percent of the vote. He underperformed President Trump there in 2024. • • Republicans are worried that Miller’s seat - which should be a relatively easy seat to hold for the GOP - could flip. There’s fear among Republicans that losing a seat like this could cost them control of the House in a tough reelection.
NOcnbc.com96%match90¢+6%
Max Miller stays in Ohio House race as GOP ballot deadline passes

Where does the news lean?

0YES19NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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