MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerMatt Maasdam
ResolvedOutcome: No$29Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NEW: Progressive William Lawrence wins the Democratic nomination in #MI07 per the AP, defeating moderate rivals Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. • • Several top centrist Dems have said openly they don't think Lawrence can win in November:
First clear progressive W of the night: @WeWill2026 in #MI07, decisive win over the two more center-left Dems. Slotkin/labor pick Matt Maasdam in third rn - coin flip w Brink but enough to make that whole faction angry
Democratic super PAC Project 218, which has served as a counterweight to Republican meddling in earlier House Dem primaries, starts spending for Matt Maasdam in #MI07:
Inbox: Elissa Slotkin endorses in the competitive three-way Dem primary to challenge Rep. Tom Barrett (R), backing Matt Maasdam over Bridget Brink and Will Lawrence #MI07
Where does the news lean?
3YES11NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.