WA-03 Primary First PlaceMarie Gluesenkamp Perez

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$27KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YEScbsnews.com94%match8¢-100%
Democratic Rep. Gluesenkamp Perez and Trump-backed Republican advance in Washington primary
YESdbws.io97%match6¢-100%
US Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances to general election in Washington battleground district, US media projects
YESReuters98%match6¢-100%
Democratic U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Advances to General Election in Washington’s Battleground U.S. House District 3 - NBC Projects
YEStheguardian.com96%match6¢-100%
Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez survives Washington’s crowded primary
YEStheguardian.com97%match6¢-100%
Live: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances to general election in closely watched Washington state House race
YESReuters98%match6¢-100%
Democratic U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Advances to General Election in Washington’s Battleground U.S. House District 3- AP Projects
YESAxios Reporter98%match6¢-100%
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez easily dispatches progressive challenger Brent Hennrich and will advance to the November runoff. • • Democrats collectively taking ~56% in #WA03 so far w/ about half the votes in
YEScnn.com96%match6¢-100%
Live: Democratic Rep. Gluesenkamp Perez will advance in Washington’s 3rd District, CNN projects
YESnytimes.com98%match6¢-100%
Live: Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, a moderate Democrat from Washington, will advance to the general election and face Republican John Braun, a retired Navy captain who has President Trump’s backing. Gluesenkamp Perez defeated a challenge from a progressive, Brent Hennrich, in the state’s nonpartisan primary.
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match6¢-100%
Decision Desk HQ projects Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and John Braun win the WA US House 3 Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:18 PM EDT
YESms.now98%match6¢-100%
Live: Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez projected to advance in Washington’s 3rd House District
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match6¢-100%
Decision Desk HQ projects Marie Perez and John Braun win the WA US House 3 Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:18 PM EDT • • Follow live results here:
YESapnews.com94%match6¢-100%
Live: US Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez fends off progressive challenger in battleground Washington district
YESzerohedge97%match7¢-100%
*DEMOCRAT MARIE GLUESENKAMP PEREZ ADVANCES IN WASHINGTON HOUSE ELECTION : AP PROJECTS • • *REPUBLICAN JOHN BRAUN ADVANCES IN WASHINGTON HOUSE ELECTION : AP PROJECTS
YESAPws98%match7¢-100%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances to the general election for U.S. House in Washington's 3rd Congressional District
YESapnews.com98%match7¢-100%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances to the general election for U.S. House in Washington’s 3rd Congressional District
YESnbcnews.com96%match6¢-100%
Live: Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez to face state Sen. John Braun in battleground district in Washington sate

Where does the news lean?

19YES1NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

How did this market resolve?

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.

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See all outcomes for WA-03 Primary First Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

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