FL-19 Republican Primary WinnerMadison Cawthorn
ResolvedOutcome: No$11Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Results for the "carpetbagger primary" are in: Jim Schwartzel has beat President Trump's pick for Florida's 19th district, Catalina Lauf. • • Five candidates in this primary have represented or run for Congress in other states, including Lauf and former Reps. Madison Cawthorn (NC) and Chris Collins (NY).
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.