Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de JaneiroLula

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$11KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOWSJ Reporter95%match100¢
Flávio Bolsonaro Surges Past Lula, Setting Up a Bitter Brazil Election Runoff • •
NOopenoutcrier93%match100¢
Flávio Bolsonaro Surges Past Lula, Setting Up a Bitter Brazil Election Runoff - WSJ
NOmikezaccardi97%match100¢
Brazil election: Flávio Bolsonaro wins first round, faces Lula in runoff $EWZ +13.3% @seekingalpha

Where does the news lean?

5YES11NO20neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

How did this market resolve?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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