What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?Hormuz / Strait
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$388as of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
FWD from SNN International: White House Spokesperson's Insolence in Declaring a Crime Against Humanity/Naval Blockade Against Iran Re-Instated White House Spokesperson Caroline Leavitt in a press conference: Iran has not fulfilled its commitments to the United States and the naval blockade against this country is being re-implemented. The Strait of Hormuz is completely open to ships that are not traveling to or from Iran. More than 10,000 Marines, two aircraft carriers, more than 20 warships, and dozens of aircraft are implementing a naval blockade against Iran. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snninternational
White House spokeswoman Caroline Leavitt said that the Islamic Republic had committed to not attacking commercial ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz under a memorandum of understanding with the United States, but it has violated this commitment. She added that Donald Trump will not remain silent in the face of these actions and the Islamic Republic must accept the consequences. Leavitt said that the naval blockade of ships heading to or from Iranian ports was re-established on the orders of Donald Trump and is now fully implemented. According to him, this action was taken following the Islamic Republic's non-compliance with the agreement with the United States. The White House spokesman added that the Strait of Hormuz remains open to ships whose destinations are not Iranian ports, and the US Navy ensures their security.
He also said about the Islamic Republic's attacks on the Kurdistan Region of Iraq that Tehran is paying the price for the actions taken following the recent US attacks against it.
White House Spokesperson's Arrogance on Iran: Trump Has Proved We Can Strike Iran Anytime, Anywhere, and Their Ability to Defend Themselves Has Basically Gone White House Spokesperson: Trump and JD Vance are on the same page about Iran right now. The Strait of Hormuz is open to ships that are not bound for or leaving Iran. @IRIBNEWS_COM
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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