James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?Fishback 15–20%
ResolvedOutcome: No$14Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
So - the @JayCollinsFL campaign for governor out with new polling: • • Byron Donalds: 46% • Jay Collins: 30% • James Fishback: 9.8% • Paul Renner: 5.9% • • “Notably, undecided voters break for Collins more than any other candidate, with Collins taking 40% of that pool,” said campaign manager @TedVeerman. • • Camp says the poll of 988 likely Florida Republican primary voters was conducted July 28-29 via a text-to-web interface by David Jay Wolfson.
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
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See all outcomes for James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.