ISM Services PMI - September 202656.0 to 56.9
ResolvedOutcome: No$1Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US ISM September Non-Manufacturing PMI: 54.9, below market expectations
ISM SERVICES COOLS, BUT INFLATION PRESSURES INTENSIFY • • September ISM Services eased to 54.9 from 55.4, while Business Activity fell to 56.5 and New Orders to 59.8. • • Employment strengthened to 50.1, returning to expansion. • • The key concern remains inflation: Prices Paid jumped to 74.0, the highest since July 2022, amid higher fuel costs, tariffs and supply-chain constraints.
US ECON - ISM Services PMI at 54.9 in September (prev 55.4)
NONews97%match100¢
ISM US services PMI for September: 54.9
ISM Services 54.9, Exp. 55.0, Last 55.4 • • Prices Paid 74.0, Exp. 73.3 • New Orders 59.8, Exp. 60.3 • Employment 50.1, Exp. 48.8
YESNews98%match0¢
The US ISM services PMI for September was 56.5 (expected 55.0) - Reuters
US ISM Services Index Sep: 54.9 (est 55.0; prev 55.4) • - Prices Paid: 74.0 (est 73.3; prev 72.6) • - New Orders: 59.8 (est 60.3; prev 60.9) • - Employment: 50.1 (est 48.8; prev 47.8)
US SEP ISM SERVICES PMI 54.9 (55.4 AUG)
NONews97%match99¢+1%
*US SEPT. ISM SERVICES PMI FALLS TO 54.9 FROM 55.4; EST. 55
NOdbnews97%match96¢+4%
*US SEPT. ISM SERVICES PMI AT 54.9 VS 55.4; EST. 55.0
Where does the news lean?
1YES9NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Related markets
See all outcomes for ISM Services PMI - September 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.