ISM Manufacturing PMI - July 202655.0–55.9
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
"Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in July for the seventh consecutive month... The Manufacturing PMI registered 55.6 percent in July, 2.3 percentage points above the June figure and the highest reading since May 2022."
US manufacturing activity expanded in July at its fastest pace in more than four years, driven by strong demand, a return to production, and an increase in company employment. The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index rose to 55.6 in July, its highest level since May 2022. Readings above 50 indicate growth, and the sector has now exceeded this level for the seventh consecutive month. #Arabic_Business
US ECON - ISM Manufacturing PMI improves to 55.6 (mkt 54.0, prev 53.3)
ISM MANUFACTURING JUMPS TO 55.6 IN JULY, BEATS CONSENSUS • • - Headline index: 55.6 vs 54.0 consensus, up from 53.3 in June • - New orders: 56.7 vs 56.0 • - Employment: 52.8 vs 49.7, back into expansion • - Prices paid: 71.1 vs 73.0 • • Employment crossed back above 50 and input costs eased slightly.
ISM Manufacturing 55.6, Exp. 53.9, Last 53.3, four-year high • • Prices Paid 71.1, Exp. 71.0 • Employment 52.8, Exp. 50.0 • New Orders 56.7, Exp. 56.7
US ISM Manufacturing Jul: 55.6 (est 53.9; prev 53.3) • - Prices Paid: 71.1 (est 71.0; prev 73.0) • - New Orders: 56.7 (est 56.7; prev 56.0) • - Employment: 52.8 (est 50.0; prev 49.7)
YESNews93%match100¢
*US JULY ISM FACTORY INDEX AT FOUR-YEAR HIGH OF 55.6, EST. 53.9
YESNews97%match100¢
The US ISM manufacturing PMI for July was 55.6 (expected 54.0) - Reuters
ISM U.S. MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY INDEX 55.6 IN JULY (CONSENSUS 54.0) VS 53.3 IN JUNE
YESdbnews96%match50¢+100%
*US JULY ISM MANUFACTURING INDEX AT 55.6 VS 53.3; EST. 54.0
Where does the news lean?
11YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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