ISM Manufacturing PMI - July 202652.0–52.9
ResolvedOutcome: No$5Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
"Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in July for the seventh consecutive month... The Manufacturing PMI registered 55.6 percent in July, 2.3 percentage points above the June figure and the highest reading since May 2022."
US manufacturing activity expanded in July at its fastest pace in more than four years, driven by strong demand, a return to production, and an increase in company employment. The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index rose to 55.6 in July, its highest level since May 2022. Readings above 50 indicate growth, and the sector has now exceeded this level for the seventh consecutive month. #Arabic_Business
US ECON - ISM Manufacturing PMI improves to 55.6 (mkt 54.0, prev 53.3)
NONews97%match99¢+1%
The US ISM manufacturing PMI for July was 55.6 (expected 54.0) - Reuters
ISM U.S. MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY INDEX 55.6 IN JULY (CONSENSUS 54.0) VS 53.3 IN JUNE
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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