Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA CommissionerNovember 30

OpenVol$2KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES9¢
NO92¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESsemafor.com91%match
FDA nominee preps for hearing next week

Where does the news lean?

3YES4NO4neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Other outcomes in this event