Speaker of the House after the midterms?Hakeem Jeffries

ClosedVol$2KClosedas of

Odds now

Trading is closed. The market last priced a 78% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES78¢
NO23¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESpunchbowlnews99%match82¢-5%
Progressives are lining up behind Hakeem Jeffries as the next speaker if House Democrats win the majority in November. • • @apalmerdc and @JakeSherman discuss on #TheDailyPunch. • :
YESpunchbowlnews99%match80¢-2%
TOP in @PunchbowlNews AM: House Democrats are lining up behind Hakeem Jeffries as the next speaker if Dems win the majority in November, according to interviews with dozens of insiders. • • @maxpcohen has the details: •

Where does the news lean?

6YES2NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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