Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?July 6
ResolvedOutcome: No$18Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Graham Platner has not made a decision on whether to drop out, according to a person familiar with the campaign’s internal discussions, who added there was no guarantee he would drop out even as Democrats abandoned his campaign on Monday. “If he was to step down it would only be with a guarantee of being replaced by a candidate who he believes is true to the values and vision and policy agenda of the campaign that Maine voted for,” said the person, who was granted anonymity because they were not authorized to speak about the discussions publicly.
Senate Majority PAC calls on Platner to drop out • “Senate Majority PAC is redirecting resources away from the Maine Senate race in light of the latest allegations against Graham Platner.”
Maine senate candidate asked to drop out of race over sexual assault allegation
Live: Maine Democratic Party leadership calls for Graham Platner to withdraw from Senate race
Platner to ‘reflect’ on Senate campaign after sexual assault allegations
Where does the news lean?
0YES10NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by July 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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