Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?≤0.0%
ResolvedOutcome: No$1Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
ALERT: German GDP growth slows to 0.2 per cent in second quarter
Yes, it's only minimal growth, but it could have been worse: The German economy grew slightly in the second quarter, with GDP increasing by 0.2%. The first-quarter figure was also revised upwards to 0.4%.
The German economy grew by 0.2 percent in the second quarter.
Germany GDP SA (Q/Q) Q2 P: 0.2% (est 0.1%; prev 0.3%) • - GDP NSA (Y/Y): 0.9% (est 0.6%; prev 0.5%) • - GDP WDA (Y/Y): 0.9% (est 0.6%; prev 0.4%)
NOdbnews93%match98¢+2%
*GERMANY PRELIM 2Q GDP GREW 0.9% Y/Y; EST. +0.6%
NOReuters96%match98¢+2%
German Preliminary Calendar-Adjusted Q2 2026 GDP +0.9% Y/Y (F’cast +0.6%) - Statistics Office
NOReuters96%match98¢+2%
German Preliminary Seas. Unadjusted Q2 2026 GDP +0.9% Y/Y (F’cast +0.6%) - Statistics Office
Where does the news lean?
0YES8NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
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See all outcomes for Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.