Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São PauloFlavio Bolsonaro
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$12Kas of
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This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
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12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro heads to an October 25 runoff election in Brazil from a position of strength, riding a conservative wave that has left President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva facing a tough battle to win a fourth term.
No decision in the first round... Flavio Bolsonaro leads Lula da Silva, and Brazil awaits the runoff. Report by Farah Qaddah
Bolsonaro edges past Lula as Brazil vote goes to run-off • • Right-wing senator Flavio Bolsonaro pulled off a surprise first-place finish ahead of leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Sunday's Brazilian election, receiving 47% of the votes to the incumbent's 45%. The two candidates will face off again in a 25 October run-off
Bolsonaro edges past Lula as Brazil vote goes to run-off • • Flavio Bolsonaro surpassed President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in a first-round vote in Brazil, receiving 47% of the votes.
Right-wing senator Flavio Bolsonaro pulled off a surprise first-place finish ahead of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Sunday's election, which heads to a run-off in three weeks as neither clinched a majority. •
“More moderate” than his father? Who is Flavio Bolsonaro, the surprise of the first round of the presidential election in Brazil?
"Lula paid the price for voter discontent": In Brazil, Flavio Bolsonaro is leading in the first round of the presidential election
Right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro led the first round of the presidential election with 47.45% of the vote and will face leftist Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in the second round.
Lula da Silva lost in the first round of the presidential elections in Brazil Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, beat the incumbent leader of the country, Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro won 47.03% of the vote, and da Silva - 45.16%. Now they will go to the second round of the elections on October 25. On October 4, general elections began in Brazil, in which citizens of the country elect vice president, governors, as well as members of the National Congress and local parliaments. The main intrigue of the campaign was the fight for the presidential seat between da Silva and Bolsonaro. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula da Silva have advanced to the second round of Brazil's presidential elections.
Presidential election in Brazil: Flavio Bolsonaro pulls off a surprise victory, overtaking Lula in the first round
Brazil: Conservative Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of Jair Bolsonaro, surprises by overtaking Lula in the first round of the presidential election
Where does the news lean?
32YES8NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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