Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Open$10Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESPolymarket99%match17¢-65%
[Replying to @EricLDaugh] @EricLDaugh 18% chance Elon rejoins the Trump administration this year. > BREAKING: ELON MUSK was just spotted rolling up to Mar-a-Lago for Dan Scavino's wedding — along with President Trump and members of the Cabinet Absolutely EPIC, Elon is BACK. This is what Team America looks like!
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.